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Strategic Foresight & Warning, Anticipatory Intelligence, Political Risk Assessment
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The Chronicles of Everstate
Further Analysis on the Future of the Modern State
The Chronicles of Everstate: a Practical Example of Foresight Analysis
Navigating the Chronicles of Everstate
The Chronicles of Everstate: the Actors
Creating Everstate
Creating Evertime
Everstate’s characteristics
Setting the stage (I)
Setting the stage (II)
Tragic events: Testing Scenarios
A Beautiful Timeline Visualisation: TimelineJS by VéritéCo
Everstate’s future: 2012 EVT
Rising Discontent
Seeking Security
Budget Deficit and Liquidity
Public Resources and Lenders
The Power of Novstate
Ideological Stakes in an Outdated Worldview
Material Stakes in an Outdated Worldview
Mamominarch – Scenario 1
Mamominarch: Off with the State
Mamominarch – Implementing the Mamominarch conclusions
Mamominarch – A Current Account Surplus? Think again!
Mamominarch – Shrinking the Income of the Nation
Mamominarch – Involution
Complex Catastrophes (Mamominarch)
From Grievances to Political Mobilisation (Mamominarch)
Escalation (Mamominarch)
A Polity in Shambles: Thus Ends Mamominarch
Panglossy – Scenario 2
Panglossy: Same Old, Same Old
New Government, New Opposition, Last Hope (Panglossy)
2012-2013 EVT – Restoring Growth (Panglossy)
Panglossy – Increasing wages: not enough, too late?
Panglossy – Investing for Green Growth without Liquidity (I)
Panglossy – Investing for Green Growth without Liquidity (2)
Panglossy – Green Growth in Action
Panglossy – Novstate-Air: Fighting Air Pollution for Profit
Panglossy – Unforeseen Outrage: Privatizing the Commons
Panglossy – Learning from Water Privatization?
Bibliography
SF&W issues
Towards a New Paradigm?
New Paradigm (category)
Russia 2045
New Political Opposition Nexus
Pattern and Evolution
Anonymous
Los Indignados, Occupy
War
Syria
East Asia Security
From the Diaoyu Islands, with Warning
The East Seas Security Sigils
Global Water Security
Analyses
Scan & Monitor: The Water Sigils
Water Security Maps
Energy Security
Energy Security Analysis
Energy Security Sigils (Scan and Monitor)
Extreme Environments Security
Deep Sea Resources Security
Deep Sea Resources Analysis
The Deep Sea Resources Sigils (Scan & Monitor)
Space Resources
Space Resources Analysis
The Space Resources Sigils (Scan & Monitor)
End of year predictions
Trial by Fire for Foresight: The 2012 Predictions of The Economist
2012 predictions
2013 predictions
Analyse
Visualising the Steps to Foresee the Future and Get Ready for It
Taleb’s Black Swans: The End of Foresight?
Assessing the “Strategic” in Surprise
Foresight method
The Chronicles of Everstate: a Practical Example of Foresight Analysis
Creating a Foresight or Warning Model: Mapping a Dynamic Network (I)
Creating a Foresight or Warning Model: Mapping a Dynamic Network (II)
Determining Criteria: a Revisited influence analysis
Variables, values and consistency in dynamic networks
Constructing a foresight scenario’s narrative with Ego Networks
Nuts & Bolts, ideas and lessons learned
Evaluation
Nuts & Bolts
Seeing Patterns
Bibliography & Links
Scan and Monitor
The Weekly
The Sigils
All Sigils
The Coal Sigils
The Deep-Sea Resources Sigils
The East Seas Security Sigils
The Iran Crisis Sigils
The Shale Oil & Gas Security Sigils
The Space Resources Sigils
The Water Sigils
Delivery of Products
Logic of Delivery
Speech & Conference
Timeliness
Using biases: Scenarios
Visual tools & Design
Clouds, Graphs and Trees
Images and Symbolism
Maps
Timeline
About
Contact
More on Red (team) Analysis
Concept & Philosophy
Gratitude hyperlinks
Are YOU Ready for the Future?
Towards Funding?
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Daily Archives:
December 2, 2011
The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No24, 1st December 2011
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No24, 1st December 2011
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