As energy markets destabilize and old alliances fracture, we look back at our foundational analysis on how civilizations respond to tectonic pressure.
Category Archives: Strategic Foresight and Early Warning Issues
WATCH OUT – The Iran War, Saudi Arabia, and the Houthis
What:
Saudi Arabia is a key actor in the US-Israel vs Iran war thanks to its strategy and geographical location. As a result of the conflict, Saudi Arabia could see its place as major regional actor enhanced. On the short term, much hinges on future Houthis’ actions…
Chronicles of the Hyperwar – AI: AI, the New Energy Frontier (1)
(Art direction and design incl. AI :Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Power for AI Power In both the United States and China, the exponential growth of the AI sector is putting immense pressure on the energy systems of both major powers. This demand for electricity affects the entire AI production and usage chain. The increase in usage by …
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SIGNAL – The Golden Dome, a New Technological Frontier
(Art direction:Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli Image: The White House, Public Domain) The Golden Dome rising The Golden Dome, heavily promoted by the Trump administration, is a technostrategy/industrial strategy that is already mobilizing major players in the space and AI sectors, including SpaceX, Starlink, Palantir, and Anduril. In this new landscape shaping the relationship between industry and defense …
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WATCH OUT – Yemen and Saudi Arabia
Gulf power dynamics and Red Sea security – Structural shifts in regional leadership
Impacts of the U.S. Threat against Greenland: the U.S.-EU Trade Deal, the EU Parliament and the Future of Europe
(Art direction and design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Following the 2026 summit in Davos, the American threat on Greenland has taken a less dramatic turn. However, the issue has not disappeared. Meanwhile, the impacts of the crisis are wide-ranging and will be long-lasting. As a result, we must continue monitoring how events unfold. Critically, we also need …
The American Threat against Greenland: When Should It Have Triggered a Watch?
(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) On 23 December 25, Trump declared again he wanted to take over Greenland.1James Landale and Rachel Hagan, “Trump says US ‘has to have’ Greenland after naming special envoy”, BBC, 23 December 2025. By December 25, tensions over the issue were already high, especially between the U.S. and the Kingdom of Denmark.2See …
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Chronicles of the Hyperwar – AI: Elon, The Mullahs, and the Satellites
Starlink and the Iran shutdown I. Starlink vs. Russia, Iran II. The Iranian Strategic Rupture III. On the Future of Starlink and Hyperwarfare Why is this important for French and European companies?
Why the Messenger Still Gets Shot — And What You Can Do About It – Video
(Art design – featured image: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) During a meeting with senior leaders and decision-makers, one participant remarked how difficult it is to warn about impending or future danger. Doing so entails the risk of being labelled negative or unpleasant, and ultimately pushed aside. In such conditions, how can we carry out proper strategic foresight …
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The Real War: U.S. vs. China – Video
(Art design – featured image: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) The tension between the U.S. and China, marked by constant ups and downs between the two giants, has become a permanent feature of the 21st-century international order. It impacts us all. It must be mainstreamed into our analyses, into the way we anticipate and foresee the future. What …
