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	<title>ecological setting Archives - The Red Team Analysis Society</title>
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	<description>Strategic Foresight &#38; Early Warning ･ Geopolitics ･ Scenarios</description>
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	<title>ecological setting Archives - The Red Team Analysis Society</title>
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		<title>Everstate: Setting the stage (I)</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2019/04/07/setting-the-stage-1/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2019/04/07/setting-the-stage-1/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Apr 2019 08:25:25 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Creating Everstate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ecological setting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geographical location]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[governance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[legitimacy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[modern nation-state]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[monopoly of violence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Setting the stage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategic foresight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Chronicles of Everstate]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redanalysis.org/?p=225</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Everstate&#160;is an ideal-type for our very real countries created to&#160;foresee&#160;the&#160;future of the modern nation-state. In the case of this specific scenario-building, we are setting the stage for Everstate, by attributing values to key influencing variable to be able to develop the scenarios. The explanations regarding the methodology used to develop the narrative is explained in &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2019/04/07/setting-the-stage-1/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "Everstate: Setting the stage (I)"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">225</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>2218 – 2223 EVT –  From Grievances to Political Mobilisation (Mamominarch)</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2012/04/22/2018-2023-evt-pol-mobilisation-mamominarch/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2012/04/22/2018-2023-evt-pol-mobilisation-mamominarch/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 22 Apr 2012 07:54:36 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Environmental Geostrategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mamominarch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[biotechnology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capabilities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[catastrophe management]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[complex catastrophes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[drought]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[duress]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ecological setting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[emergencies management]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[escalation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[feeling of injustice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[governance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[grievances]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[heat wave]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[impact]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[industrial disaster]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[modern nation-state]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nationalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[natural catastrophe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[natural catastrophes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Opposition Nexus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[new political forces]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Novcybio]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Occupy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oil price]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pressure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Refugee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[relative deprivation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rising tension]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[separatism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[solidarity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategic foresight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[summer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Chronicles of Everstate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[timing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tornadoes outbreak]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tourism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[toxic waste]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tragic event]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trueland]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redanalysis.org/?p=1788</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Last episodes’ summary:&#160;In 2212 EVT,&#160;Everstate&#160;(the ideal-type&#160;corresponding to our very real countries&#160;created to&#160;foresee&#160;the&#160;future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. To face&#160;the various difficulties and widespread discontent, in a first scenario, Everstate’s governing bodies implement the Mamominarch programme of drastic reduction of state spending over five years through devolution, &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2012/04/22/2018-2023-evt-pol-mobilisation-mamominarch/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "2218 – 2223 EVT –  From Grievances to Political Mobilisation (Mamominarch)"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">1788</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>2218 &#8211; 2223 EVT – Complex Catastrophes (Mamominarch)</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2012/04/15/2018-2023-evt-complex-catastrophe-mamominarch/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2012/04/15/2018-2023-evt-complex-catastrophe-mamominarch/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Apr 2012 08:00:56 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Environmental Geostrategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mamominarch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[agriculture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[catastrophe management]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[complex catastrophes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[drought]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[duress]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ecological setting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[emergencies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[extreme weather events]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[governance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[heat wave]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[impact]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[industrial disaster]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[modern nation-state]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[natural catastrophe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pressure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategic foresight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stress test]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Chronicles of Everstate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[timing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tornadoe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tornadoes outbreak]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[toxic waste]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tragic event]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redanalysis.org/?p=1678</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Any type of similar natural events and catastrophes can be imagined to strike countries, from pandemic to floods, snowstorms, cyclones, fire, etc. Last episode’s summary: In 2212 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. To face the various difficulties and widespread discontent, &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2012/04/15/2018-2023-evt-complex-catastrophe-mamominarch/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "2218 &#8211; 2223 EVT – Complex Catastrophes (Mamominarch)"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">1678</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>2218 EVT &#8211; Tragic events</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2012/04/08/potential-pressures-and-events/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2012/04/08/potential-pressures-and-events/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Apr 2012 05:58:42 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Communication of Strategic Foresight and Early Warning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Creating Everstate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Environmental Geostrategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Methodology of Scenario building]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[biotechnology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capabilities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cyber-security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[drought]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[duress]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ecological setting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[environment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[extreme weather events]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[governance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[heat wave]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[impact]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[likelihood]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[medium term]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[modern nation-state]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[natural catastrophe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[natural event]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Novcybio]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oil price]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[organised crime]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pathogen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pressure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[set of events]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[short term]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategic foresight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stress test]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[summer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[terrorist group]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Chronicles of Everstate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[timing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tornadoe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tragic event]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redanalysis.org/?p=1351</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<!-- wp:paragraph -->
<p>Tragic events strike Everstate. We witness tornadoes and drought, war in the Middle East and even a major industrial accident, while a new episode of financial crisis starts. These are instances of the various conditions presiding to Everstate's destiny, considering what has been done, or not, globally, regionally and within Everstate. </p>
<!-- /wp:paragraph -->

<!-- wp:paragraph -->
<p>The same set of events should be used to stress test each scenario. The logic of the scenario will however comes first, assuming it impacts the plausibility of the event. In that case, ....</p>
<!-- /wp:paragraph -->
]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">1351</post-id>	</item>
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