energy Archives - The Red Team Analysis Society

The Ultimate Key Technologies of the Future (3) – Extreme Environments

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Mon, 21 Jun 2021 10:33:17 +0000

This third article is the last part of our “equation” to identify the key technologies of the future. We started, with the first article, in establishing that solely making laundry lists of new technologies was insufficient to identify the key technologies of the future. We needed more: a system explaining the logic behind the success …

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The Key Technologies of the Future (2) – Evolution

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Mon, 14 Jun 2021 08:21:47 +0000

In the first part of this series we found that solely making laundry lists of new technologies was insufficient to identify the key technologies of the future. Use of inadequate classifications made matters worse. We needed more: a system explaining the logic behind the success of technologies. Thus, we developed a schematic model depicting the …

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The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – An Obvious 21st Century Conundrum – 11 October 2018

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Thu, 11 Oct 2018 09:57:02 +0000

Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals for political and geopolitical risk of interest to private and public actors. Find out more on horizon scanning, signals, what they are and how to use them: “Horizon Scanning and Monitoring for Anticipation: Definition and Practice“. Welcome to the now obvious 21st century conundrum: …

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Signals: China Planetary 3D Strategy, Deep Sea Resources in the South China Sea

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Mon, 28 May 2018 11:00:45 +0000

The April and May 2018 Chinese successful deep sea explorations in the South China Sea lead to novel future possibilities, including a rising uncertainty in the security and resource sectors for all actors, states and companies alike, involving a complete redrawing of the influence map, of the capabilities needed and relatedly of the strategies and policies to develop and implement.

Challenges Looming over the Petrodollar System

Leonardo Frisani — Mon, 20 Nov 2017 12:05:48 +0000

This article focuses mainly on the petrodollar system, which is at the heart of the U.S. dollar supremacy, and on the challenges it meets. Meanwhile, these trials start outlining potential futures for the international currency system.

Saudi Arabia and the Chinese New Silk Road

Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris) — Mon, 15 May 2017 08:15:41 +0000

During March 2017, King Salman of Saudi Arabia ended a six weeks tour in Asia with a state visit in China and a meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping. This visit included the opportunity to start the negotiations about the integration of Saudi Arabia to the Chinese New Silk Road Grand strategy (Michael Tanchum, “Saudi Arabia …

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The UAE and the Chinese New Silk Road

Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris) — Mon, 24 Apr 2017 09:20:23 +0000

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) and China are negotiating, at the highest level, the integration of the UAE into the Chinese New Silk Road (NSR) initiative, also called the “One Belt, One Road” (OBOR) initiative (Sarah Townsend, “UAE and China “working to restore silk road trading route””, Arabian Business.com, 13 December 2015). This move corresponds …

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Strategic Thinking in the Russian Arctic: When Threats Become Opportunities (1)

Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris) — Mon, 19 Dec 2016 10:23:47 +0000

This series of two articles focuses on the current development of the Russian Arctic region, while explaining and demonstrating the importance of using strategic thinking for governments as well as for business actors. Indeed, the international dynamics of geopolitical and environmental changes, including their interactions, are becoming so rapid and powerful that political and business actors have …

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The Warming Russian Arctic: Where Russian and Asian Business and Strategies Converge?

Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris) — Mon, 21 Nov 2016 10:12:06 +0000

In this new article about the current development of the warming Russian Arctic, The Red (Team) Analysis Society studies how Russia is currently devising an industrial and business grand strategy. This strategy is created through new oil and gas exploitations and the constant opening of the Siberian Northern Sea Route. These new activities are made possible by the rapidly intensifying climate change, which is transforming the Arctic into a continental attractor for energy, business, shipping, land transport, from everywhere in Asia (Jean-Michel Valantin, “The Russian Arctic meets the Chinese New Silk Road”, The Red (Team) Analysis Society, 31 October, 2016). The Russian Arctic power of attraction can be identified from the fact that numerous Asian countries are attracted by the …

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Iran, China and the New Silk Road

Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris) — Mon, 04 Jan 2016 09:12:24 +0000

Given the rising tensions between Iran and Saudi Arabia since the beginning of the twenty-first century, reaching new heights in early 2016 with the beheading of a Shi’a Cleric by Saudi political authorities, which generated violences on Saudi diplomatic representations notably in Iran, in turn leading to the Saudi decision to break diplomatic relations with Iran (e.g. BBC News, 4 Jan 2016), understanding the new dynamics existing between Iran and China is even more important, as they may carry new weight, usually not considered as far as the Middle East is concerned. On 4 March 2013, an Iranian military fleet, which had left the Iranian port of Bandar Abbas, docked at the Chinese port of Zhangjiagang, after a forty days journey (“Thread: Iran 24th fleet heading …

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