fragmentation Archives - The Red Team Analysis Society https://redanalysis.org/tag/fragmentation/ Strategic Foresight & Early Warning ･ Geopolitics ･ Scenarios Wed, 09 Mar 2022 19:11:56 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://redanalysis.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/cropped-RTAS-Logo-Vectorise-Disque-Blanc-PNG-1000-x-1000-32x32.png fragmentation Archives - The Red Team Analysis Society https://redanalysis.org/tag/fragmentation/ 32 32 128105080 2218 – 2223 EVT – A Polity in Shambles (Mamominarch) https://redanalysis.org/2012/05/06/2018-2023-evt-mamominarch/ Sun, 06 May 2012 08:00:35 +0000 http://www.redanalysis.org/?p=1905 Post updated 10 May 2012. Last weeks’ summary: In 2012 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. To face the various difficulties and widespread discontent, in a first scenario, Everstate’s governing bodies implement the Mamominarch programme of drastic reduction of state’s spending over five years through devolution, privatisation and outsourcing. By 2018 EVT, besides a generalised rising insecurity for most Everstatans, the now fragile state cannot efficiently manage the complex catastrophes that start hitting Everstate in May. Further pressures and perceptions of the way they are answered lead to radicalisation and polarisation along three lines: local independence with direct membership to the Regional Union – with now a battle over Trueland …

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