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	<title>weak signal Archives - The Red Team Analysis Society</title>
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	<description>Strategic Foresight &#38; Early Warning ･ Geopolitics ･ Scenarios</description>
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	<title>weak signal Archives - The Red Team Analysis Society</title>
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<site xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">128105080</site>	<item>
		<title>How to use AI for Weak Signals &#8211; Trump, the International Revolutionary?</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2025/03/14/ai-weak-signals-trump-international-revolutionary/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2025/03/14/ai-weak-signals-trump-international-revolutionary/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Mar 2025 08:35:48 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Americas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Artificial Intelligence - Foreseeing the Future AI-powered World]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Methodology of Early Warning and Scanning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scanning and Monitoring for Warning on Global Issues]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Open Access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[weak signal]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=41061</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(Art direction and design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Identifying and using weak signals is an important part of the processes of strategic foresight and early warning. It is at the heart of the activity known as scanning or horizon scanning. Weak signals can point towards the possible apparition of a new theme for a topic of concern. &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2025/03/14/ai-weak-signals-trump-international-revolutionary/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "How to use AI for Weak Signals &#8211; Trump, the International Revolutionary?"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">41061</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Scans for Weak Signals</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2023/04/13/scans-for-weak-signals/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2023/04/13/scans-for-weak-signals/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Apr 2023 16:26:06 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scanning and Monitoring for Warning on Global Issues]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[horizon scanning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scanning tool]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Signal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Weekly]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[weak signal]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=36173</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A way to say good bye to the Weekly! Stay put, we are working on something new and exciting… Scans and signals Using horizon scanning, periodically, we can collect weak – and less weak – signals. The signals point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they indicate how trends or dynamics &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2023/04/13/scans-for-weak-signals/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "Scans for Weak Signals"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">36173</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Water Sigils</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2022/03/09/the-water-sigils/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2022/03/09/the-water-sigils/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Mar 2022 19:44:17 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Sigils]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Water Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[issue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[monitoring]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Open Access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Red teaming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sigils]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategic foresight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategic warning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[water security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[weak signal]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redanalysis.org/?p=2132</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The aim of the Water Sigils&#160;is to be a daily scan focusing on water security. We are currently investigating new AI ways to deliver an even better Water Sigils. The original complimentary version ran from May 2012 to April 2023. The Sigils&#160;are a series of scans exploring the horizon for weak signals related to various &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2022/03/09/the-water-sigils/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "The Water Sigils"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">2132</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Horizon Scanning and Monitoring for Early Warning: Definition and Practice</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2019/03/04/horizon-scanning-monitoring-definition-practice/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2019/03/04/horizon-scanning-monitoring-definition-practice/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Mar 2019 08:00:21 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Methodology of Early Warning and Scanning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[indications]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[issue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[monitoring]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Open Access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sigils]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategic foresight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategic foresight and warning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategic warning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[weak signal]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redanalysis.org/?p=2607</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(Rewritten and revised edition) Horizon scanning and monitoring for early warning are part of the family of activities used to foresee the future, anticipate uncertainty and manage risks. Their practice is crucial for successful strategic foresight and warning, risk management, futurism or any anticipatory activity. While monitoring is a generic and common term used for &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2019/03/04/horizon-scanning-monitoring-definition-practice/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "Horizon Scanning and Monitoring for Early Warning: Definition and Practice"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">2607</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Deep-Sea Resources Brief</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2018/01/05/the-deep-sea-resources-sigils-brief/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Jan 2018 09:09:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Deep Sea Resources Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Antarctica]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[biotechnology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Canada]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[commodity prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[continental shelf]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deep-sea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[diamonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Extended Continental Legal Shelf]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[issue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[likelihood]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mining]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[monitoring]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[power]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rare earth elements]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[resources]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seabed]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seafloor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sigils]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[timeline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[weak signal]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redanalysis.org/?p=2339</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Human societies currently face dwindling resources and rising competition for them in the contemporary “resources order.” Thus, besides and in accordance with other ways to handle this challenge, new types and sources of resources are increasingly valuable and can make a strategic difference for polities, as well as for humanity as a whole. Meanwhile, if we are to ever learn from our worrying present, we must also, continuously, make sure that the extraction and use of those new potential resources will not have any unfavourable impact on the planet and its ecosystem, including this biodiversity to which we belong.* As has now been known since the end of the nineteenth century, mineral resources lie on the seabed, and the rising &#8230; </p>
<p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2018/01/05/the-deep-sea-resources-sigils-brief/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> &#8220;The Deep-Sea Resources Brief&#8221;</span></a></p>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">2339</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Red Team Analysis Weekly 149 – War and Weak Signals</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2014/04/24/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-148-war-and-weak-signals/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Apr 2014 14:42:12 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Future Wars]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Methodology of Early Warning and Scanning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Weekly Scan - Editorial Archives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[big data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Japan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Korea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Opposition Nexus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria issues]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ukraine issues]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[water security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[weak signal]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=7084</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Editorial – War and Weak Signals – While progressing through the raw mass of information of The Weekly and editing it, initially, it seemed obvious the editorial should focus on Obama’s visit to Asia, the TPP and especially on the U.S. President’s assertion in the Yomiuri Shimbun regarding the disputed Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands: “The policy of the United States is clear — the Senkaku Islands are administered by Japan and therefore fall within the scope of Article 5 of the U.S.-Japan Treaty of Mutual Cooperation and Security. And we oppose any unilateral attempts to undermine Japan’s administration of these islands”. The accommodating Chinese News reactions to this American statement, as a willingness to keep the U.S. outside the dispute, are also to be underlined &#8230; </p>
<p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2014/04/24/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-148-war-and-weak-signals/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> &#8220;The Red Team Analysis Weekly 149 – War and Weak Signals&#8221;</span></a></p>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">7084</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>The Red Team Analysis Weekly 145 &#8211; Risks on the US Dollar Supremacy?</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2014/03/27/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-145-risks-on-the-us-dollar-supremacy/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2014 15:41:18 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Americas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[International Order and New Paradigm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Weekly Scan - Editorial Archives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ukraine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Central Asia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dollar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Europe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Germany]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[international currency system]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kurds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NATO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategic warning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria issues]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[weak signal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[YPG]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=6902</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Editorial – Risks on the US Dollar Supremacy? Among the flurry of articles part of the violent “battle for hearts and minds” regarding Ukraine and opposing directly Russia on the one hand,  the U.S and Europe on the other, continues emerging, quite loudly this week, an interrogation regarding the international order, this time in its monetary guise. Put bluntly, the question is as follows: “Are we seeing the beginning of the end of the US dollar based international monetary order?” The question is related to oil because of the importance of petrodollars. We may thus wonder if a potential U.S. strategy, assuming it could work (read Steve LeVine article “How the US might persuade the Saudis to co-conspire in unleashing an oil &#8230; </p>
<p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2014/03/27/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-145-risks-on-the-us-dollar-supremacy/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> &#8220;The Red Team Analysis Weekly 145 &#8211; Risks on the US Dollar Supremacy?&#8221;</span></a></p>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">6902</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Weak Signals of Cracks in the Neoliberal Paradigm?</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2013/09/30/neoliberalism/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2013/09/30/neoliberalism/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Sep 2013 14:06:26 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[International Order and New Paradigm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Protests and Opposition Movements]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[indication]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[liberalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[neo-liberalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Opposition Nexus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[polarization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategic warning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ultraliberalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[weak signal]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redanalysis.org/?p=5000</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[&#8220;Businesses run the world, they are better managed, more efficient at all levels, promote innovation and discoveries, and deliver better services and products than any other organization, notably governments and states&#8217; administrations.&#8221; This is a hardly caricatured representation of the worldview we have increasingly known since at least the middle of the 1980s, that bloomed &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2013/09/30/neoliberalism/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "Weak Signals of Cracks in the Neoliberal Paradigm?"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">5000</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>The Deep-Sea Resources Sigils</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2012/06/01/the-deep-sea-resources-sigils/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Jun 2012 08:21:54 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Deep Sea Resources Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Sigils]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deep sea resources]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[issue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[marine metals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[monitoring]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Open Access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sigils]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[weak signal]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redanalysis.org/?p=2396</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The aim of the Deep-Sea Resources Sigils&#160;is to be a daily scan focusing on the security and geopolitics of the deep sea. Why deep-sea resources must be monitored and what is at stake can be found in the corresponding Sigils Brief. We are currently investigating new AI ways to deliver an even better Deep Sea &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2012/06/01/the-deep-sea-resources-sigils/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "The Deep-Sea Resources Sigils"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">2396</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>The Coal Sigils</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2012/05/18/the-coal-sigils/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 May 2012 10:25:44 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Energy Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Sigils]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[anthracite]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asian energy demand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Australia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CO2]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[coal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Colombia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[electricity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[environment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fossile fuels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Indonesia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[lignite]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[methane]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mining]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[monitoring]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Open Access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[resources]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sigils]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[surprise]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[weak signal]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redanalysis.org/?p=2253</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The aim of the Coal Sigils is to be a daily scan focusing on coal security. We are currently investigating new AI ways to deliver an even better Coal Security Sigils. The original complimentary version ran from May 2012 to April 2023. Why a Sigils focused on coal since 2012? According to a release by the &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2012/05/18/the-coal-sigils/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "The Coal Sigils"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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