The Red (Team) Analysis Society helps you embracing the future and uncertainty.
We live today in a highly volatile world. Uncertainties for tomorrow abound. The world we knew is already gone. Yet, the future emerges only slowly. It is the theatre of tensions. Changes appear to be very quick, yet sometimes they surprise us with a pace that is not so fast. How can we make sense of this emerging world? How can we take decisions for the future? How can we mitigate the risks we face?
With us you find answers to these questions.
Our philosophy is to help you meet the need for foresight.
Our new Course: Scenario-Building for Political and Geopolitical Issues is online!
Check it out!
The first unit is offered.
Our latest articles
- The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 23 January 2020(Credit Image: ESO/P. Horálek) This is the 23 January 2020 issue of our weekly scan for geopolitical risks (open access). Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they indicate how trends or dynamics evolve. This week's … Read more
- Artificial Intelligence, climate change and the U.S militaryAI, AI Everywhere The Artificial Intelligence field (AI) is creating a continuity that encompasses climate change science and the preparedness of the U.S. military to climate risks. This continuity appears through the central role of AI in two apparently disconnected foresight civilian and military uses. AI and climate science Climate Central published in Nature a … Read more
- Are your Scenarios Valid? Test and Check List in 6 pointsBuilding scenarios is a crucial methodology to anticipate and prepare for the future. The higher the uncertainty, the more important it is to be able to mitigate risks to develop winning responses. However, it is crucial to use good scenarios. Good scenarios are sound methodologically and include knowledge and understanding of the issue at hand. … Read more
- How to Analyse Future Security Threats (4): Scenarios and WarThis article focuses on scenarios for war. It explains first why scenarios need to be mutually exclusive. Then it provides logical templates for building scenarios dealing with war. Finally it offers an updated bibliography of scenarios for Syria over time. Towards an Operational Methodology to Analyse Future Security Threats and Political Risk (1)Methodology to Analyse … Read more
- The U.S. Army versus a Warming PlanetThe strange case of the disappearing report In August 2019, the Centre for Climate and Security published an article about a recent publication by the U.S Army War College. The document, entitled “Implications of Climate change for the U.S Army”, however, cannot be found anymore on the “publications” page of the U.S Army War College. … Read more
- U.S. National Security Commission for Artificial Intelligence Interim report – SignalCredit Image: Henri Kissinger, 5 Nov 19 NSCAI Conference, @MignonClyburn The National Security Commission for Artificial Intelligence Interim report, published on 4 November 2019, is a must read for anyone interested in international relations, geopolitics, national and international security. All those concerned must consider the U.S. position, strategic foresight, and now AI as an element … Read more
- Quantum Optimization and the Future of GovernmentQuantum optimization is a direct practical application for quantum computing. Moreover, actors can already use it, even with the nascent and imperfect quantum computers currently available. The Volkswagen Group, Daimler, Ericsson, Total, Airbus (including with the Airbus Quantum Computing Challenge – AQCC)), Boeing, EDF, are examples of companies with ongoing research projects involving quantum optimization. … Read more
- China, the African Swine Fever Pandemics and GeopoliticsA pandemic of African swine fever is devastating the pig stocks of China, Vietnam, Cambodia, Northern Korea, South Korea, Laos, the Philippines, and Timor Leste. Furthermore, some wild boars carrying the disease have just been detected at the frontier between Mongolia and Russia (African Swine fever update, Food and Agriculture Organization, 03 October 2019). From … Read more
Sense-making for Strategic Foresight and Warning and Risk Management
- Latest articles
- Global Issues addressed in our research articles and reports
- Methodology to foresee and warn
Before to start, we gathered a couple of tips to help you speed reading and make sure what you read is not fake news (our contribution to fight against fake news): How to Read a Large Amount of Information and Fight against Fake News.
Browse further all our featured articles
Our research articles and reports focus on a large range of issues, risks and uncertainties shaping our political and geopolitical future.
Global Thematic Issues
Main Current Focus
Besides researching and writing articles, providing training and consulting services, we also deliver keynote speeches, including for top-level executives.
Other issues on the watch
You can also read our articles according to geographical location.
As time goes by, the unfolding future becomes the present then the past.
Articles and reports progressively build an analytical trove to make sense of the world, to understand the dynamics at work out of which the future emerges.
Articles and reports are essential elements for the state of the art/literature review of the methodology of strategic foresight and warning and risk management.
How to Foresee and Warn – Methodology
The methodological aspects of strategic foresight and warning, risk management, or horizon scanning are addressed in a large collection of in-depth articles.
The articles of this section are aimed at practitioners, as well as students, who want to understand better how anticipation is done, from scanning the horizon to scenario-building through indicators and delivery to decision-makers.
All the articles address the various challenges that we can face at each step of the strategic foresight and warning process for political and geopolitical risks and uncertainties: analyse, scan and monitor, evaluate, and deliver.
The largest part of our research articles are now premium content. Usually a summary, abstract, the introduction, or the first lines of the premium access articles remain free, so you can decide if you want to read or not the premium articles.
We nonetheless strive to still provide some of our most fundamental articles and research as open access (free for readers) publications. Give it a try and start reading our open access articles.
Monitoring and Scanning (open access – without analysis)
Our scanning and monitoring is grounded in years of practice and in-depth knowledge and experience of research for political and geopolitical issues. The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly scans the horizon every week for weak – and less weak – signals regarding all political and geopolitical risks and uncertainties, as well as national and global changes and instability, using crowdsourcing.
The Sigils are a series of daily, raw (non edited) scans. Each focuses on a specific issue and are provided through the platform Paper.Li.
The Horizon Scanning Board provides selected open source intelligence – OSINT – signals that are particularly interesting, among all those signals we identify, analyse and use. A collection of signals are provided here as a demonstration sample only.
Some customers and references
We strive to build a relationship of trust with every client. We do not publicize our work for our clients. We do not mention the name of our private clients, nor of our public clients when the work is confidential. Here are some of customers and references we can mention.
More About Us…
The Red (Team) Analysis Society, it is also work “behind-the-scenes” in fora, workshops, conferences and networks.
Credit Featured images:
Top Image: ESO/B. Tafreshi – twanight.org
Consulting Image: ALMA antennas under the Milky Way, ESO/José Francisco Salgado (josefrancisco.org)
Sense-making (Think Tank) Image: TRAPPIST–South robotic telescope, ESO’s La Silla Observatory – ESO/E.Jehin.