geopolitical risks and uncertainty

A Consultancy and Think Tank to Help You Embracing Political and Geopolitical Uncertainty with Strategic Foresight & Warning and Risk Management

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Credit image: ESO/B. Tafreshi - twanight.org

Our Latest Foresights and Insights

From our Think Tank - Read our latest research articles.


Our Think-Tank – Your Resource Centre

  • In-Depth research articles and Reports on global issues
  • methodology to foresee and warn
  • Horizon scanning board with signals and impact analysis
  • Scans

In-Depth Research Articles on Global Issues

Our research articles and reports focus on a large range of issues, risks and uncertainties shaping our political and geopolitical future.

Global Thematic Issues

Click on the image to access the corresponding list of articles.

Trending Don’t forget… War…

Towards a New Paradigm – International World Order

A New Ideological War: Liberalism vs Post-Globalism vs Populism?

War, the game-changer

The Future Artificial Intelligence – Powered World

Energy Security

War in Syria

China, the Belt and Road and the world

Climate Security

War in Libya

Towards the End of the US Dollar Supremacy?

Global Water Security

At War against the Islamic State

polar region, arctic, antarctica, deep-sea, deep ocean, mining, resources, scarcity, asteroid, space, deep, mining, underground,
Extreme Environments Security

War in Ukraine

Leviathan, scenario, future, nation-state, modern-state
The Future of the Nation-State

Geographical Regions

Find out our articles according to geographical regions: click on the image to access the corresponding list of articles.



East Asia and the Pacific

South Asia



The Caucasus and Central Asia

Middle East and North Africa

Sub-Saharan Africa

The Americas

As times goes by and the unfolding future becomes the present then the past, our articles progressively build an analytical trove which helps understand the dynamics at work out of which the future emerges. They can be included in the first step of the anticipation analytical methodology we recommend, the literature review or state of the art, upon which the anticipation model is built.

How to Foresee and Warn

The methodological aspects of anticipation, strategic foresight and warning and risk management, or early warning are addressed in a large collection of in-depth articles.

Our methodological articles are aimed at practitioners, as well as students, who want to understand better how anticipation is done, from scenario building to indicators and delivery to decision-makers.

All the articles in this section address the various challenges which can be found at each step of the strategic foresight and warning process for political and geopolitical risks and uncertainties: analyse, scan and monitor, evaluate, and deliver.

Click on the image to access the corresponding list of articles.

Fundamentals Process

futurist, future, risk, warning, foresight
Basics and Fundamentals


Validate, Evaluate, Back-test

Geopolitical Uncertainties and Businesses

Monitor, Scan, and Warn

Deliver Products to Clients

The largest part of our research articles are now premium content for members-only. Read more about becoming a member
We nonetheless strive to still provide some of our most fundamental articles and research as open access publications.* Find a list of all the open access articles here.

The Horizon Scanning Board

Our Horizon Scanning Board (open access) publishes a selection of the most important signals on global issues we identify daily, with a summary of impacts and brief analysis of the signal.

Raw Monitoring and Scanning

Our raw Monitoring and Scanning (open access) presents regularly the weak and less weak signals we collect on various issues.

Scanning and monitoring: All Issues

Our scanning and monitoring is grounded in years of practice and in-depth knowledge and experience of research for political and geopolitical issues. The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly scans the horizon every week for weak – and less weak – signals regarding all political and geopolitical risks and uncertainties, as well as national and global changes and instability, using crowdsourcing. The Sigils are a series of daily, raw (non edited) scans. Each focuses on a specific issue and are provided through the platform Paper.Li.

Scanning and monitoring: Global Transversal Issues
Scanning and monitoring: Tensions and War
Scanning and monitoring: Geographical Regions
*however a few rules apply.

More About Us…

The Red (Team) Analysis Society, it is also the willingness to build a relationship of trust with every client: we do not publicize our work for our clients, we do not mention the name of our private clients, nor of our public clients when the work is confidential.

The Red (Team) Analysis Society, it is also work “behind-the-scenes” in fora, workshops, conferences and networks.

Read more about us, about our team and network of partners, and about some public references and “behind-the-scenes” work …

Credit Featured images (Consulting): ALMA antennas under the Milky Way, ESO/José Francisco Salgado (josefrancisco.org)
Credit featured image (Think Tank):TRAPPIST–South robotic telescope, ESO’s La Silla Observatory – ESO/E.Jehin.

Scenarios and Indicators – Monitoring and Warning
Actors Mapping – Commissioned studies


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We help you navigating political and geopolitical uncertainties. You can embrace opportunities and mitigate threats. Throughout the anticipation cycle and risk management/strategic foresight and warning process, we assist you, listening to your needs first.

We know political and geopolitical uncertainties and bring our knowledge and experience to the service of your activity.

Read more about how we help our clients with our products and services


Tailor-designed training — Online Course
Executive training


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Our tailor-designed training, executive programmes or online course provide analysts and decision-makers with practical and step by step analytical and methodological skills and knowledge to reduce and embrace uncertainty, avoid surprise, foresee, monitor and warn about political and geopolitical crises and threats. Risk management as a result is enhanced.

Our training courses are grounded in scientific knowledge and understanding as well as practical experience of international relations, political and geopolitical analysis and anticipation, risk management and strategic foresight and warning analysis and processes.

Read more about how we help our clients according to their specific needs with our training programmes