Geopolitical risk is on the rise. Do you consider the growing resulting uncertainty? What will happen to you and your activity in the future? Do you properly integrate in your strategy and decisions these increasing international and domestic risks of instability? How can you manage the expanding geopolitical risk, its complexity and uncertainty? How can you avoid costly and lethal surprise? How can you improve how you deal with the future? How can you cope with future dangers, pressures but also take advantage of opportunities? Which are those issues, how do they evolve and what to expect next? Welcome to The Red (Team) Analysis Society and its website, dedicated to the practice of strategic foresight and warning and risk management for geopolitical risk, as well as national and global changes and instability.

Crucial issues on the watch

Mouse over the images to see the name of the issues on our watch, and click on one of them to access the corresponding section: towards a new paradigm; the future of the modern nation-state; protest movements; water security; energy security; extreme environments (space, arctic, deep-sea) and related geopolitical risk; environment and security; East Asia security; war, the ultimate geopolitical risk; crisis and war in Ukraine; the war against the Islamic State, and related war in Syria (scenarios); as well as war in Libya; Saudi Arabia and Iran.

How to foresee and warn?


Do you want to set up a unit in charge of strategic foresight and warning for geopolitical risk? Do you want to train to improve your capacity to tackle geopolitical uncertainty and to anticipate it? Do you want your staff to to produce better anticipatory analysis for this complex geopolitical world?

Take our new Online Course – Geopolitical Risk and Crisis Anticipation: Analytical Model. Find out more about it here.geopolitical risk, geostrategic risk, online course, risk management, strategic foresight and warning

Alternatively, contact us so that we can create a taylor-made training for your specific needs we shall deliver in our premises.

Resource center

Use the Red (Team) Analysis website as a resource center to better grasp the many challenges to face when anticipating geopolitical risk as well as national and global changes and instability.

Start with the basics, including understanding better the multiple names given to anticipation.

strategic foresight and warning, intelligence,risk

Learn how to use strategic foresight and warning for geopolitical risk, how to identify those issues to which you must pay attention, how to create strategic foresight and warning mapping, how to elaborate scenarios, how to select indicators, how to monitor a situation or specific geopolitical risk with those indicators, and finally how to best deliver the result of your efforts to decision-makers. Imagine how to improve anticipation and explore tools and methodologies. To those ends, use the methodological sections displayed as images below, which constitute an ideal strategic foresight and warning process for geopolitical risk: analyse, scan and monitor, evaluate, deliver, and finally our latest temporal observatory project (click on a photo to access the corresponding section).

Monitoring and Scanning

Every week, The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly scans the horizon for geopolitical risk as well as national and global changes and instability, using crowdsourcing.

The Sigils are a series of daily, raw (non edited) scan. Each focuses on a specific issue and can be read on Paper.Li (click on the corresponding image below to access it – full image credit in editorial on Paper.Li). Check our latest addition: The Caliphate War Sigils

News & Events

Some news and (non confidential) events, workshops, training or interviews involving The Red (Team) Analysis Society or members of its team.

biodiv defReconcile operational training with biodiversity preservation on military camps – “Biodiversity and Army at international level” by Dr Jean Michel Valantin – International conference « Life Défense Nature 2mil » held from 28 to 30 June 2016, in Nimes, France.


SciencesPo – Paris School of International Affairs – Forthcoming Semester Autumn 2016 – Dr Helene Lavoix teaches the “Risk Analysis & Crisis Management” Course (Master).

PPREVSenior consultant for early warning – Countering Radicalisation & Violent Extremism in the Sahel-Maghreb Region / Programme de Prévention Régionale contre l’Extrémisme Violent dans le Maghreb et le Sahel, P-PREV (A European Union – UN Pilot Project – Fr via CiviPol Conseil) – Nov 2015 onward.

BrusselsVesalius College – Brussels – Global Risk Analysis & Crisis Management Executive Course: Module 5  – Analysing Risks, Preparing for Uncertainty, and Scenarios analysis 30 – 31 Jan 2015: Curriculum design and Training (Dr Helene Lavoix)

logo sqGeneva Center for Security Policy (GCSP) – Foresight and Strategic Planning Course: Shaping the Present, Planning the Future – 21-24 September 2015, Geneva  – Dr Helene Lavoix teaches “Introduction to Foresight and Early Warning ” on 21 Sept.


SciencesPo – Paris School of International Affairs – Semester Autumn 2015 – Dr Helene Lavoix teaches the “Risk Analysis & Crisis Management” Course (Master).

JMV 2 2014Atlantico – 24 August 2015 – Special interview of Dr Jean-Michel Valantin – “Environnement, géopolitique, migration : pourquoi le réchauffement climatique est déjà là et ce que cela change pour la planète” (Environment, geopolitics, migration: why is global warming already here and what does that change for the planet)

Confederation Helvetique et OECDSwiss Confederation/OECD – Fourth Workshop on Strategic Crisis Management “Anticipating crises and their potential pathways”, Geneva, Switzerland – 28-29 May, 2015 – Keynote speaker “From weak signals to crisis scenarios” (Dr Helene Lavoix)

conf sqInternational Relations Studies Association – TUICTurkey-Balkan Economy Summit, Istanbul, Turkey, 11 – 12 April 2015 – Speaker: “Enlarging the Shadow of the Future” – Improving Cooperation between Turkey and The Balkans and Sustainable Development (Dr Helene Lavoix)

Read more…

Strategic Foresight & Warning, Anticipatory Intelligence, and Risk Management for Geopolitical Risk