Creating Evertime

As underlined in Everstate’s characteristics, time in strategic foresight and warning is a crucial problem that still needs much effort and research before we obtain proper and actionable timelines – and this without even considering timeliness.

For the Chronicles of Everstate, I have been struggling with the best way to present time in our very imperfect knowledge and understanding context.

One of the solutions was to locate the Chronicles in a very distant time, which is what I suggested in Everstate’s characteristics. However, considering the unconscious or conscious mental associations that will be made by readers for years so far away as 5230, this was unsatisfactory. To use a less precise timeline such as the Near Future and the Far Future was also disappointing as we would then lose a temporal outline – however imperfect – that is crucial in terms of policies and responses.

The solution* that seems to be the best is to remain true to our methodology. As we created an imaginary modern nation-state, let us create the corresponding imaginary time, Evertime: a time that mirrors our own as if in a parallel dimension. We shall thus starts the Chronicles of Everstate in 2011 EVT (EVT being the acronym for Evertime).

Using years mirroring ours will also help us identifying, in the future, and thus with hindsight, what needs to be improved and why in terms of methodology and research, and thus will contribute to improve our analysis.

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*This solution was found during a brainstorming with a graphic designer, artist, author and game designer, Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli, to whom I am truly indebted for helping this idea to emerge. This underlines, once more, the value of brainstorming involving people coming from very different and diverse backgrounds.

 

8 thoughts on “Creating Evertime”

  1. i wonder if turning the clock back like this ,is a credible idea. i dont understand whats wrong with real time,is it that analysts need a time frame thats predictable?is that why your doing this?neat idea though.

    1. I am not sure I follow what you mean by “turning the clock back”… If it is in terms of changing what I published yesterday, this is part of science or should be part of any analysis for that matter – to always doubt and try to obtain some better understanding and to question our own hypotheses with falsification, rather than look for confirmation. It is also the disadvantage of the way I work on the Chronicles of Everstate, I am working and writing on the issue while publishing, although the main model and the methodology have been devised, finalized and tested a few months ago. Nevertheless, my ideas evolve with practice and time .
      If it is related to the timeframe, I am not turning the clock back, just creating another timeframe.
      Actually there is nothing wrong with real time, it is just that there is hardly any research done – to my knowledge – on the time component of events and dynamics in social science: if we look at, for example revolutions, or wars, we will research the why, the how, the what, but not in relation with time. As a result, I have been unable to enter precise and as scientifically grounded as possible times in my model. Thus Evertime is also a way to warn the reader about this.
      Yes, having a precise timeframe is crucial in terms of strategic foresight and warning because ultimately we do it to allow decision-makers and policy makers (and whomever) to take decisions in the present regarding the future. What we decide to do and when will vary according to the time frame… a very early example of SF&W is when priests gave the signal to start planting crops, and then when to harvest them. Actually, we could wonder if any decision can truly be separated from its timeframe?

  2. This certainly seems like an effective approach. It provides both the ready comfort of “current time,” but does not constrain us to current circumstances.

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