Portal to Strategic Intelligence Assessments for Syria

Flag_of_Syria_(2011_combined)Keeping in mind the complex and fluid character of the situation in Syria, we present below entry points to the current state of play and the various categories of actors fighting in and over Syria with mention of the last update. Scenarios for the future following from this assessment can then be accessed. The scenarios will evolve, notably in terms of likelihood, from changes on the battleground and in interactions between all actors and evolutions will be noted as possible.  Sections relative to methodology and bibliography can be found at the bottom of the page. A full report in pdf – Potential Futures for Syria in the Fog of War, published on 15 July 2013 is also available.

Read first:  Potential Futures for Syria in the Fog of War presenting fundamentals to understand the war in Syria.

Check the Portal to the war against the Islamic State as the war in Syria may not anymore be understood outside this broader context. See notably: At War against the Islamic State – From Syria to the Region by H Lavoix, 2 November 2015.

Scenarios

State of Play

Updates

Methodology

Bibliography