After evaluating scenarios involving failed peace negotiations, we shall conclude scenario 1, exploring paths towards a mediated peace, by evaluating sub-scenario 1.3 in this article – a scenario where peace negotiations, without an external mediator, lead to a signed peace treaty and transitional government.
Our focus here will be on the scenario where the actors reach such levels of exhaustion that they are willing to negotiate a peace, … Continue reading Scenarios for the Future of Libya – Scenarios 1 (5) – A Libyan-Mediated Peace?

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