Nato has released its latest 2017 Strategic Foresight Analysis Report.

According to General Denis Mercier, NATO Supreme Allied Commander Transformation (SACT) interviewed by Reuters, the report will be used with a SACT “companion report that maps out what NATO should do to respond to these trends in the spring” … “to inform the 2019 NATO political guidance”.

Some of the main points identified for the future are:

  • Increased instability
  • Increased likelihood of confrontation and war
  • Rising challenge to NATO and the West from emerging and resurgent powers (aka Russia and China)
  • Asymmetric demographic change
  • Rapid urbanization
  • Increasingly polarized societies
  • Continuous if not rising importance of new and emerging technologies, which offer enormous opportunities but also challenges and vulnerabilities
  • The impact of globalization
  • Rising importance of climate change and related cross cutting impacts, water security, food security and resource competition

Download pdf report from NATO

NATO sees growing Russia, China challenge; higher risk of war

BERLIN (Reuters) – China’s growing military strength and a resurgent Russia will pose growing challenges to the trans-Atlantic alliance in coming years, and NATO’s moves to bolster its capabilities could trigger a new Cold War-style arms race, a NATO report said.

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