The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 5 December 2019

Credit Image: ESO/José Francisco Salgado (josefrancisco.org) This is the 5 December 2019 issue of our weekly scan for geopolitical risks. Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they indicate how trends or dynamics evolve. The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 5 December 2019 Artificial Intelligence, climate change and the U.S military Are your Scenarios Valid? Test and Check List in 6 points How to Analyse Future Security Threats (4): Scenarios and War The U.S. Army versus a Warming Planet U.S. National Security Commission for Artificial Intelligence Interim report – Signal Quantum Optimization and the Future of Government China, the African Swine […]

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The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 28 November 2019

Credit Image: ESO/José Francisco Salgado (josefrancisco.org) This is the 28 November 2019 issue of our weekly scan for geopolitical risks. Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they indicate how trends or dynamics evolve. Here, we […]

Are your Scenarios Valid? Test and Check List in 6 points

Building scenarios is a crucial methodology to anticipate and prepare for the future. The higher the uncertainty, the more important it is to be able to mitigate risks to develop winning responses. However, it is crucial to use good scenarios. Good scenarios are sound methodologically and include knowledge and understanding of the issue at hand. […]

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 21 November 2019

Credit Image: ESO/José Francisco Salgado (josefrancisco.org) This is the 21 November 2019 issue of our weekly scan for geopolitical risks. Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they indicate how trends or dynamics evolve. The just […]

How to Analyse Future Security Threats (4): Scenarios and War

This article focuses on scenarios for war. It explains first why scenarios need to be mutually exclusive. Then it provides logical templates for building scenarios dealing with war. Finally it offers an updated bibliography of scenarios for Syria over time. Towards an Operational Methodology to Analyse Future Security Threats and Political Risk (1) Methodology to […]

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 14 November 2019

Credit Image: ESO/José Francisco Salgado (josefrancisco.org) This is the 14 November 2019 issue of our weekly scan for geopolitical risks. Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they indicate how trends or dynamics evolve. Here, we […]

U.S. National Security Commission for Artificial Intelligence Interim report – Signal

Credit Image: Henri Kissinger, 5 Nov 19 NSCAI Conference, @MignonClyburn

The National Security Commission for Artificial Intelligence Interim report, published on 4 November 2019, is a must read for anyone interested in international relations, geopolitics, national and international security. All those concerned must consider the U.S. position, strategic foresight, and now AI as an element of power. Read more…

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 7 November 2019

Credit Image: ESO/José Francisco Salgado (josefrancisco.org) This is the 7 November 2019 issue of our weekly scan for geopolitical risks. Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they indicate how trends or dynamics evolve. Here, we […]

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 31st October 2019

Credit Image: ESO/José Francisco Salgado (josefrancisco.org) This is the 31st October issue of our weekly scan for geopolitical risks. Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they indicate how trends or dynamics evolve. Here, we focus […]

Quantum Optimization and the Future of Government

Quantum optimization is a direct practical application for quantum computing. Moreover, actors can already use it, even with the nascent and imperfect quantum computers currently available. The Volkswagen Group, Daimler, Ericsson, Total, Airbus (including with the Airbus Quantum Computing Challenge – AQCC)), Boeing, EDF, are examples of companies with ongoing research projects involving quantum optimization. […]

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