The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 4 March 2021

This is the 4 March 2021 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). Editorial: When a strategist and historian as smart and as famous as Professor Edward Luttwak writes on China, his piece may only be selected as featured article. […]

Communication of Strategic Foresight and Early Warning

A warning does not exist if it is not delivered. This is a key lesson highlighted by the famous expert in warning Cynthia Grabo, who worked as an intelligence analyst for the U.S. government from 1942 to 1980 (Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning, Editor’s Preface). Similarly, a foresight product such as scenarios, for example, […]

The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 25 February 2021

This is the 25 February 2021 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they […]

The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 18 February 2021

This is the 18 February 2021 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they […]

The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 11 February 2021

This is the 11 February 2021 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). As featured article, The Atlantic revises the idea of the Chinese ‘Debt Trap’… a signal that some of the U.S. actors expect to see changes in the […]

The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 4 February 2021

This is the 4 February 2021 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks or, more largely, conventional and unconventional national and international security (open access). As featured article, a thought-provoking article by Dr Guy Standing, “Global transformation: the precariat overcoming populism” on evolving class structures, rentier capitalism, the rise of the precariat and […]

Are your Strategic Foresight Scenarios Valid?

Scenario building, also known as scenario analysis, is a crucial methodology to anticipate and prepare for the future. This is a method used from risk management to strategic foresight through early warning systems. More broadly, it is a key tool for all anticipation that needs to be actionable. The higher the uncertainty, the more important […]

The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 28 January 2021

This is the 28 January 2021 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks (open access). Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they indicate how trends or dynamics evolve. The 28 January 2021 […]

COVID-19 Vaccinations, Hope or Mirage?

(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli Photo: torstensimon) The world has started a race for immunisation against the COVID-19. Vaccines are now perceived as the universal panacea, the miracle that will save us all from the pandemic. We shall, finally, be able to find back our old life. Are we right to hope? Or are we likely to […]

The Red Team Analysis Weekly – 21 January 2021

This is the 21 January 2021 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks (open access). Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they indicate how trends or dynamics evolve. The 21 January 2021 […]

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