The Hidden Origin of the COVID-19 and the Second Wave

In this article we explore the way the COVID-19 pandemic was born and, hidden, spread globally. Learning from this very early process, we deduce initial key elements and indicators to monitor and control the COVID-19 second wave and recurrent ones. With this series of articles we are looking for ways to better estimate the likelihood […]

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 21 May 2020

This is the 21 May 2020 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks (open access) Editorial: This week our main signals highlight notably and among many indications: a possible mutation of the SARS-CoV-2 (China new cases); domestic and international political and security impacts of the COVID-19 which are increasingly apparent; and an […]

COVID-19 and Food Insecurity Early Warning

This brief article is a first early warning about food insecurity resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic. The danger is rising and deserves further and more in-depth analysis and monitoring. As the COVID-19 pandemic developed, we immediately added food insecurity on our watch list of issues to monitor (see our COVID-19 section). To date, mid-May 2020, […]

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 14 May 2020

This is the 14 May 2020 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks (open access): Very deep transformations are at work. However, there is also a very strong offensive to try keeping the pre-COVID-19 world afloat. Many actors only pay lip service to the idea of a fundamentally different world. Yet, probably, […]

Models for the COVID-19 Second Wave

Europe, the Middle East, Oceania, part of South Asia and the U.S. progressively exit the COVID-19 lockdowns and relax the most severe social distancing measures. In the meantime, China, Singapore and South Korea, the countries that were hit first and succeeded in controlling the first wave, appear to face different dynamics after easing of anti-COVID-19 […]

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 7 May 2020

This is the 7 May 2020 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks (open access): The U.S. challenged by both the COVID-19 and China, virus mutations, economic dread, and more… Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising […]

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 30 April 2020

This is the 30 April 2020 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks (open access). Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they indicate how trends or dynamics evolve. The 30 April 2020 […]

The Strange Case of Sweden in the COVID-19 Pandemic

Many countries hit by the pandemic are now exiting or about to exit the period of most stringent isolation measures. Indeed, they estimate they succeeded in controlling contagion. Meanwhile, they avoided the dreaded break down of their health-care system, which could have taken place if hospitals had been overwhelmed. In Europe, one country stands apart, […]

The COVID-19 Shaping the World – The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 23 April 2020

This is the 23 April 2020 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks (open access). Editorial: The COVID-19 has already deeply reshaped the world. Imagine the headlines and the social networks buzz on the oil prices amazing rout, if we were not in a time of pandemic! It would certainly not be […]

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 16 April 2020

This is the 16 April 2020 issue of our weekly scan for political and geopolitical risks (open access). Again, a very large part is devoted to the COVID-19, as the pandemic is reshaping the world. Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating […]

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