The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 20 February 2020

(Credit Image: ESO/P. Horálek) This is the 20 February 2020 issue of our weekly scan for geopolitical risks (open access). Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they indicate how trends or dynamics evolve. This week’s […]

COVID-19: Anticipation, Timing and Influence – From Mobility Restriction to Medicine Shortage

Last updated on February 21st, 2020 at 12:36 pmScenarios regarding the future of the COVID-19 epidemic outbreak in China and globally vary wildly (David Cyranoski, “When will the coronavirus outbreak peak?“, Nature, 18 February 2020). The estimates go from the outbreak peaking at the end of February 2020 to months away with millions infected (Ibid.). […]

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 13 February 2020

(Credit Image: ESO/P. Horálek)

This is the 13 February 2020 issue of our weekly scan for geopolitical risks (open access). Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they indicate how trends or dynamics evolve.

Editorial: The spread and persistence of the COVID-19 epidemic outbreak is increasingly an issue of serious concern. Now, the new way to test the COVID-19 cases would appear to send a wind of panic across the world: it added more than 12000 confirmed cases over night. Meanwhile, tensions between Turkey and Syria rises… read more in the scan

The Coronavirus COVID-19 Epidemic Outbreak is Not Only about a New Virus

Last updated on February 21st, 2020 at 12:42 pmThe coronavirus epidemic is “a very grave threat” because “Viruses can have more powerful consequences than any terrorist action”. This is what the WHO Director stressed as an international meeting of 400 scientists and other experts convened in Geneva (Sarah Boseley, “Coronavirus should be seen as ‘public […]

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 6 February 2020

Last updated on February 13th, 2020 at 12:53 pm(Credit Image: ESO/P. Horálek) This is the 6 February 2020 issue of our weekly scan for geopolitical risks (open access). Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they […]

The New Coronavirus COVID-19 (ex 2019-nCoV) Mystery – Fact-Checking

Last updated on February 21st, 2020 at 12:51 pmThe new Coronavirus 2019-nCoV epidemic outbreak is a mystery. Indeed, since it became a concern in China at the end of December 2019 and in the early days of January 2020 (WHO timeline), the various actors and authorities involved have been sending contradictory signals regarding the outbreak. […]

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 30 January 2020

This is the 30 January 2020 issue of our weekly scan for geopolitical risks (open access). Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they indicate how trends or dynamics evolve.

Brief Editorial: A very large part of the signals focuses on the current new Coronavirus 2019-nCoV outbreak, considering the high risks entailed. Meanwhile, however, the high tech battle does not relent. Libya and Turkey are also quite high on the list of concerns and signals.[…]

Resources to monitor the new Coronavirus COVID-19 (ex 2019-nCoV) Epidemic Outbreak

Last updated on February 22nd, 2020 at 11:50 amThe new Coronavirus COVID-19 (ex 2019-nCoV) epidemic outbreak unfolds, with still much uncertainty. Thus, we must closely monitor it, using the best possible ressources available. All actors should also develop scenarios to make sure they are ready across all possible futures. Here, you will find a list […]

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 23 January 2020

Last updated on January 30th, 2020 at 05:54 pm(Credit Image: ESO/P. Horálek) This is the 23 January 2020 issue of our weekly scan for geopolitical risks (open access). Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they […]

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 16 January 2020

Last updated on January 23rd, 2020 at 01:26 pm(Credit Image: ESO/P. Horálek) This is the 16 January 2020 issue of our weekly scan for geopolitical risks (open access). Using horizon scanning, each week, we collect weak – and less weak – signals. These point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. As a result, they […]