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Previous issues and archives for The Weekly can be found here.
Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals for political and geopolitical risk of interest to private and public actors.
Find out more on horizon scanning, signals, what they are and how to use them:
“Horizon Scanning and Monitoring for Anticipation: Definition and Practice“.
Read below our latest complimentary Weekly horizon scanning. … Continue reading The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 16 August 2018
➚➚ Escalating AI-power race notably between the U.S. on the one hand, China and in a lesser way Russia on the other.
➚➚ Redrawing of the power map of the world along AI-power status lines
➚➚ Rising uncertainty regarding the emerging AI-world
➚ Possible widening of the range of response,
The April and May 2018 Chinese successful deep sea explorations in the South China Sea lead to novel future possibilities, including a rising uncertainty in the security and resource sectors for all actors, states and companies alike, involving a complete redrawing of the influence map, of the capabilities needed and relatedly of the strategies and policies to develop and implement.
➚ Risk level
➃ very high at the national level (WHO assess.)
➂ high at the regional level (WHO assess.)
➀ weak at the global level (WHO assess.)
➚ ➀ Risk for actors without activities within the DRC –
… Continue reading Warning – Ebola Outbreak in the DRC Spreading – to Put under Watch
Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals…
This week, from Iran to Korea through China, Iraq, a degrading situation in Afghanistan, and a couple of interesting articles for the future of war(s) …
For other weak (and strong) signals, read below our latest complimentary Weekly horizon scanning…
Each section of the scan focuses on signals related to a specific theme: world (international politics and geopolitics); … Continue reading The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly –
17 May 2018
Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals…
Each section of the scan below focuses on signals related to a specific theme: world (international politics and geopolitics); economy; science; analysis, strategy and futures; technology and weapons; energy and environment. However, in a complex world, categories are merely a convenient way to present information, … Continue reading The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly –
18 January 2018
The main critical uncertainty related to the American move is first the level of this commitment and then its consistency over time. As a result the survival of the Syrian autonomous region, the Kurdish-led Federation of Northern Syria has also become more uncertain. The outcome in terms of American regional and global influence is also uncertain. … Continue reading Signals: U.S. Sponsored Kurdish-led Border Army in Syria and Responses
… Continue reading Signal: China – France Strengthening Relations
Should China step in successfully as peace broker between Israelis and Palestinians
… Continue reading Signals: Jerusalem – The U.S. Defeated at the U.N., China Seeks Advantage?
Resulting from the Google AI China Center’s opening and then operations, we estimate rising likelihoods to see :
… Continue reading Signal: Google Opens Google AI China Center and Chinese Reactions
