Monitoring and Warning

Our Foresights and Insights

Do you want to find out how we help our clients with monitoring and warning for political and geopolitical uncertainty? Read more…

Access our horizon scanning board here (beta).

Previous issues and archives for The Weekly can be found here.

Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals for political and geopolitical risk of interest to private and public actors.

Find out more on horizon scanning, signals, what they are and how to use them:
Horizon Scanning and Monitoring for Anticipation: Definition and Practice“.

Read below our latest complimentary Weekly horizon scanning. Continue reading The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly – 18 October 2018

[Fully rewritten version v3] To exist, risk and foresight products as well as warnings must be delivered to those who must act upon them, the customers, clients or users. These anticipation analyses must also be actionable, which means that they need to include the right information necessary to see action taken. … Continue reading Revisiting Timeliness for Strategic Foresight and Warning and Risk Management

Impact on Issues and Uncertainties

Critical Uncertainty ➚➚➚ Disruption of the current AI-power race for private and public actors alike – The U.S. takes a very serious lead in the race.
➚➚  Accelerating expansion of AI
➚➚  Accelerating emergence of the AI-world
➚➚ Increased odds to see the U.S.

Continue reading $2 Billion for Next Gen Artificial Intelligence for U.S. Defence – Signal

Impact on Issues and Uncertainties

➚➚ Accelerating expansion of AI
➚➚ Accelerating emergence of the AI-world
➚ Redrawing of the power map of the world along AI-power status lines
➚ Escalating AI-power race notably between the U.S.

Continue reading Impacts of Chinese Baidu new no-code tool to build AI-programs – Signal

Impact on Issues and Uncertainties

➚➚ Escalating AI-power race notably between the U.S. on the one hand, China and in a lesser way Russia on the other.
➚➚ Redrawing of the power map of the world along AI-power status lines
➚➚ Rising uncertainty regarding the emerging AI-world
Possible widening of the range of response,

Continue reading Signal: The Pentagon Researches Artificial Intelligence Systems for Nuclear Missile Launch Anticipation

The April and May 2018 Chinese successful deep sea explorations in the South China Sea lead to novel future possibilities, including a rising uncertainty in the security and resource sectors for all actors, states and companies alike, involving a complete redrawing of the influence map, of the capabilities needed and relatedly of the strategies and policies to develop and implement.

Risk level and Uncertainties

Risk level
very high at the national level (WHO assess.)
 high at the regional level (WHO assess.)
➀ weak at the global level (WHO assess.)
➚   Risk for actors without activities within the DRC –

Continue reading Warning – Ebola Outbreak in the DRC Spreading – to Put under Watch

Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals…
This week, from Iran to Korea through China, Iraq, a degrading situation in Afghanistan, and a couple of interesting articles for the future of war(s) …
For other weak (and strong) signals, read below our latest complimentary Weekly horizon scanning…
Each section of the scan focuses on signals related to a specific theme: world (international politics and geopolitics);Continue reading The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly –
17 May 2018

Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals…
Each section of the scan below focuses on signals related to a specific theme: world (international politics and geopolitics); economy; science; analysis, strategy and futures; technology and weapons; energy and environment. However, in a complex world, categories are merely a convenient way to present information, … Continue reading The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly –
18 January 2018