For trainees with instalments, the date when a unit will become available can be found either on the unit itself or summarised in My account >> Memberships >> Course 2 >> Content.


Learn to build and develop scenarios for political and geopolitical risk, global uncertainties and international security.

Step by step, you will learn to build a complete set of scenarios, with narratives and dedicated indicators. You will also learn to find out the probability of each scenario.

As a result, your scenarios will truly be fully actionable, while you will be able to use them for warning.

Throughout this course, you will find answers notably to the following questions:

What are scenarios and how do we build them?

What is the use of scenarios?

How can we synthesise the factors or variables identified as crucial for our issue or risk?

What are narratives and why do we use them?

What is a scenario-tree?

What are indicators? How to select them?

Do we need probabilities? How do we estimate probability for scenarios?

The page to enroll can be found here.

About the author: Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)

Dr Helene Lavoix, PhD Lond (International Relations), is the Director of The Red (Team) Analysis Society. She is specialised in strategic foresight and warning for national and international security issues. Her current focus is on Artificial Intelligence, Quantum Science, and Security. She teaches at Master level at SciencesPo-PSIA.

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