Dr Helene Lavoix


Dr Helene Lavoix is a Director of The Red (Team) Analysis Society and its founder. She holds a PhD in Political Science and a MSc in International Politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in Finance (Grande Ecole, France – valedictorian). She teaches global risk analysis/SF&W at MSc level at SciencesPo-PSIA after having taught in 2010 then in 2011 as Visiting Senior Fellow at the RSIS, NTU in Singapore. She also trains professionals either through taylor-made training courses for various organisations or in the framework of executive courses (e.g. Geneva Center for Security Policy,  Vesalius College in Brussels, Royal Military Academy of Belgium). Prior to that, as an independent researcher, she has advised institutional actors and researched commissioned reports. She speaks at workshops and public conferences and publishes on anticipatory matters, from methodology to specific issues (e.g. methodology of strategic foresight, scenarios, indicators, timeliness, fragile states, Syrian conflict, social unrest and mobilization, war, genocide, energy security, etc.). She has served as Senior Scientific Advisor to the Global Futures Forum (a multinational partnership of intelligence and security organizations at unclassified level), after having been the coordinator of the GFF SF&W Community of Interest 2008-2011 and lead of the corresponding online community 2007-2008. Previously, she served as an analyst in International Relations (Eastern Asia and Globalisation) for the European Commission, created and headed in Phnom-Penh the Cambodian branch of a NGO in the field of Development and worked in finance, as treasurer.

She is the author, among other publications notably for the Red (Team) Analysis Society, of “Ensuring a Closer Fit: Insights on making foresight relevant to policymaking”, Development (2014) 56(4); “What makes foresight actionable: the cases of Singapore and Finland” (confidential commissioned report, US government, November 2010), “Enabling Security for the 21st Century: Intelligence & Strategic Foresight and Warning” RSIS Working Paper August 2010, “Constructing an Early Warning System,” in From Early Warning to Early Action, European Commission, ed. DG Relex, 2008, “Detailed chronology of mass violence – Cambodia (1945 – 1979),” Online Encyclopaedia of mass violence, 2008 and the editor of Strategic Foresight and Warning: Navigating the Unknown, ed. RSIS-CENS, February 2011. More on academia.edu. Listed on the public list curated by LSEImpactBlog@LSEImpactBlog/soc-sci-academic-tweeters.

Some foresight and warnings

  • 1987: China as one of the most important future economic and political players (Master dissertation – MFin)
  • 1993: Warning the French and European diplomatic community in Cambodia that to promote a double prime-ministership would entail most probably a coup (it occurred in 1997) and potentially related civil disorders, to the least a slow down of the recovery process.
  • 1998: Identification of deep-sea resources as future geopolitical issue.
  • 1999-2000: Internal lobbying within the analysis and policy planning units and related directorships of the European Commission DG1 & DG Trade to see defence and international relations considered in an inter-connected way alongside trade and the launch of the Euro.
  • Since 2008, among other:
    • Warning about connected highly likely political consequences worldwide of the financial and economic crisis.
    • Warning about the need to revisit demographic foresight and forecast to include multi-feedbacks.
  • Since 2009, among other:
    • Lobbying for developing global efforts in terms of strategic foresight and warning regarding the future of the modern state and associated system with at its core the crucial problem of public deficit. This is THE key that will condition the possibility for answering – at national, international, regional and global – any other pressure or threat.
    • Warning about the need to pay attention and invest in “space resources.”
  • Since 2013, read The Red (Team) Analysis Society for public foresights…

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