Access or return to the Horizon Scanning Board page.
The arrows show if the signal (or the piece of information briefly analysed) indicates a strengthening or weakening of the trend, problem, issue.
➚ Strengthening, Escalation
➙ Still strong or high but no change in intensity
➘ Still strong or high but decreasing intensity
➘ Decreasing intensity towards medium intensity of issue
The figure gives the level of intensity of the issue, problem, or threat. We use the Heidelberg University Conflict Barometer Intensity of conflict typology.
➁ non-violent crisis
➂ violent crisis
➃ limited war
It is coupled with typical colours for enhanced information, from green for dispute to bright red for war: ➀ ➁ ➂ ➃ ➄