Last updated on December 13th, 2017 at 03:51 pmNumerous Chinese cities go through what is now dubbed an “airpocalypse” mainly due to the explosion of coal plants and transport by cars. In the meantime, Russia is renewing and expanding its network of oil and gas pipelines toward China. Meanwhile, the Arctic and subarctic region is […]
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The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No82, 10 January 2013
Horizon Scanning for National Security – No82 – On relativity: If, for example, we believe that Greece will be in the G20 in 7 years or that we are at the end of the economic crisis, notably in Europe, that “new oil” developments and use of coal are very positive, then, Australia’s heat index or European unemployment figures or Basel’s new liquidity rule might be (only “might” of course) weak signals that something is amiss… if we don’t believe the initial statements then those indications are strong signals of escalation, among so many others.
The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No79, 20 December 2012
The Coal Sigils
Last updated on November 3rd, 2017 at 07:37 pmThe Coal Sigils, is the first of The Sigils dedicated to energy security, a series of daily papers scanning the horizon for weak signals related to various issues relevant to the security of societies, polities, nations and citizens. Why a Sigils focused on coal? According to a […]
The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No48, 17 May 2012
Last updated on October 6th, 2012 at 04:31 pmUnfortunately, after Paper.Li’s latest upgrade, No 48 17 May was replaced by an unedited 18 May edition. Only the editorial and photo of the first page below survived… On the bright side, we get back archives, but not for the past numbers. No48 – 17 May 2012 […]
The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No43, 12 April 2012
Energy Security: a Bibliography for Strategic Foresight and Warning
Last updated on October 21st, 2017 at 06:12 pmA Bibliography Bibliography on energy security for strategic foresight and warning (not exhaustive) built while working on energy issues, notably as senior scientific adviser for the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of the Deputy Director for Energy/Environmental Security (2008-2010). Energy security and foresight Bray, David A., Sean Costigan, Keith A. Daum, Helene Lavoix, Elizabeth L. Malone, and Chris Pallaris, “Perspective: Cultivating Strategic Foresight for Energy and Environmental Security,” Cambridge Journals, Environmental Practice, volume 11, issue 03, Septembre 2009. Lavoix, Helene, Why Strategic Foresight and Warning? The case of Energy Security, (slides), RSIS, Public lecture, NTU, Singapore, 19th April 2010 Millennium Project, 2020 Global Energy Scenarios, 2008. Shell Scenarios, Looking ahead. Energy Demand Bartis, James […]