The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly 142 – Beyond Ukraine, towards Change in the World Order?

Editorial – Beyond Ukraine, towards change in the world order? What if behind the tension in Ukraine and Crimea there was something more and larger at stake? What if it were not just one more serious international crisis, but also a moment when some underlying dynamics that were so far only hardly perceptible, or still in the making were crystallized and becoming quite obvious? It is most likely that it is indeed what is happening as underlined, for example, by Ivan Krastev in his article in Foreign Affairs, when he writes: “Russia’s aggression in Ukraine should not be understood as an opportunistic power grab. Rather, it is an attempt to politically, culturally, and militarily resist the West. Russia resorted to military […]

To access this article, you must become one of our members. Log in if you are a member.

Everstate: Setting the stage (II)

Last week’s summary: Everstate (An ideal-type for our very real countries created to foresee the future of the modern nation-state, to which we now attribute values to be able to develop the scenarios) is a middle-range power located on the Eurasian land mass and part of the international liberal order. It is ruled under a democratic parliamentary regime and obeys an array of norms and their institutional administrative offshoots at international, regional and national level. Its governance is thus complex. Lately, it started being less efficient and as a result began to fail to ensure the security of Everstate’s citizens. (Click on each picture to see a larger version in a new tab). An increasingly inefficient economy Meanwhile, the economy was […]

To access this article, you must become one of our members. Log in if you are a member.

2012 predictions (2)

2012 predictions (2) ZeroHedge, Globalization, The Decade Ahead, And Asymmetric Returns, 12/26/2011 ZeroHedge, Jim Rogers 2012 Outlook: Pessimism With Scattered Crises, 12/26/2011 Derek Abma on 2012 predictions by Douglas Porter, deputy chief economist with BMO Capital Markets, “Canada to avoid recession next year despite Europe,” The Vancouver Sun, Financial Post, December 26, 2011 Ryan Mauro, Top 12 Threats to Watch in 2012, Family Security Matters, December 27, 2011 Tony Karon, “If 2011 Was a Turbulent Year for Obama’s Foreign Policy, 2012 Looks Set to Be Worse,” (Survey of the top ten global crisis issues facing the U.S. in the new year), Time.com Global Spin, December 27, 2011. Moneycontrol bureau, “Keep your coats on! It’s going to be a stormy 2012,” (summary of financial and eco […]

To access this article, you must become one of our members. Log in if you are a member.