The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No54, 28 June 2012

No54 – 28 June 2012 – Click on the image below to read on Paper.Li (best with mobiles & tablets)

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No53, 21 June 2012

No53 – 21 June 2012 – Click on the image below to read on Paper.Li (best with mobiles & tablets)

2012-2013 EVT – Restoring Growth (Panglossy)

Last weeks’ summary: In 2012 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. Alarmed by the rising difficulties and widespread discontent, the governing authorities decide to do something when new elections start. Dependent upon programmes created to face efficiently past challenges, prisoners of entrenched political groupings, comforted in their vision by the BRICS’ success and renewed optimism, the major parties campaign to come back to the order ante. As a result, habits and the existing system, once the new national representatives are elected and the new government starts ruling, are even more entrenched, almost ossified. Meanwhile, the polarisation and rise of a new opposition that took […]

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The Coal Sigils

The Coal Sigils, is the first of The Sigils dedicated to energy security, a series of daily papers scanning the horizon for weak signals related to various issues relevant to the security of societies, polities, nations and citizens. Why a Sigils focused on coal? According to a release by the IEA, “As of March 2012, […]

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No48, 17 May 2012

Unfortunately, after Paper.Li’s latest upgrade, No 48 17 May was replaced by an unedited 18 May edition. Only the editorial and photo of the first page below survived… On the bright side, we get back archives, but not for the past numbers. No48 – 17 May 2012 – Click on the image below to read […]

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No45, 26 April 2012

No45 – 26 April 2012 – Click on the image below to read on Paper.Li (best with mobiles & tablets) Rising prospects of global unrest: Knowing that feelings of injustice thus of unfairness are a major incentive for unrest, the BBC poll’s results are a crucial signal for the evolution of political dynamics in the […]

Energy Security: a Bibliography for Strategic Foresight and Warning

A Bibliography Bibliography on energy security for strategic foresight and warning (not exhaustive) built while working on energy issues, notably as senior scientific adviser for the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of the Deputy Director for Energy/Environmental Security (2008-2010). Energy security and foresight Bray, David A., Sean Costigan, Keith A. Daum, Helene Lavoix, Elizabeth L. Malone, and Chris Pallaris, “Perspective: Cultivating Strategic Foresight for Energy and Environmental Security,” Cambridge Journals, Environmental Practice, volume 11, issue 03, Septembre 2009. Lavoix, Helene, Why Strategic Foresight and Warning? The case of Energy Security, (slides), RSIS, Public lecture, NTU, Singapore, 19th April 2010 Millennium Project, 2020 Global Energy Scenarios, 2008. Shell Scenarios, Looking ahead. Energy Demand Bartis, James T. and Lawrence Van Bibber, Alternative Fuels for […]

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The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No41, 29 March 2012

No41 – 29 March 2012 Click on the image below to read on Paper.Li (best with mobiles & tablets) China, China, and China again, the BRICS’ power… are we back to the usual – relatively – safe (read “known”) order? But, wait a minute: the “US debt ceiling D-Day” could be in September, the Eurozone crisis […]

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No37, 1st March 2012

No37, 1st March 2012 Horizon Scanning for National Security Click on the picture below to access No37

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