The initial variables chosen to start building our scenario are the five most important variables according to Eigenvector centrality, as explained in Revisiting influence analysis. We shall now choose values for each criterion. Consistency is then checked, but only for the variables that are linked (see the consistency matrix). As we aim at finding a plausible and average, mild set of initial criteria, we shall start from the following set, which is also intuitively representative of the situation, real or perceived, in which many real world countries have found themselves for a couple of years. We then verify that the chosen scenarios are consistent with the consistency matrix. Even if the aim is to obtain timelines that are as precise […]
In this article we explain and discuss the methodological background that allows us to set the criteria for Everstate – or for any country or issue chosen – as exemplified in the post “Everstate’s characteristics.” Meanwhile, we also address the problem of consistency.