Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals… Each section focuses on signals related to a specific theme: world (international politics and geopolitics – this week includes much of course on the “migrant crisis” which should never have come as a surprise and thus should not be a crisis…in an ideal world, … Continue reading The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly 219 – 10 September 2015
Editorial – Risks on the US Dollar Supremacy? Among the flurry of articles part of the violent “battle for hearts and minds” regarding Ukraine and opposing directly Russia on the one hand, the U.S and Europe on the other, continues emerging, quite loudly this week, an interrogation regarding the international order, this time in its monetary guise. … Continue reading The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly 145 – Risks on the US Dollar Supremacy?
The BBC World Service – World Have Your Say invites three experts, including from Red (team) Analysis, to discuss the alleged interception of phone and data by France’s foreign intelligence service, in a way similar to the US Prism programme.
Strategic Foresight and Warning is part of the field of anticipation, which includes many perspectives and practices centered on different themes. Meanwhile, various actors use different names for SF&W, or very similar approaches. It is thus important to clarify what various labels and names mean, even if borders between categories are often fuzzy.
Global Trends 2030 compares our current transition period with 1815, 1919, 1945 and 1989. Yet we have not known recently any global systemic war. Thus why choose such a comparison? What could explain such a puzzling choice and what could we learn from it, for our understanding of the world and its potential future(s)?
Horizon Scanning for National Security No87 – A new universal panacea is born: shale gas and oil? Should we not rejoice and forget the rest?
Practically applying the idea of “strategic surprise” when anticipating new threats is difficult as soon as one moves away from the general idea, and tries to be more specific about the strategic impact a surprise could have.
The surprise part of the concept is relatively easily understood and envisioned. When imagining a threat or danger occurring, … Continue reading Assessing the “Strategic” in Surprise
No69 – 11 October 2012
Potential stabilisation in the East China Sea, with a move from Japan, still uncertain improvement considering Japanese domestic tensions. Meanwhile the situation in the Middle East and in Europe deteriorates. Most notably, the participation of reservists to the demonstrations yesterday in Greece could be a weak signal of potential escalation. … Continue reading The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No69, 11 October 2012
No43 – 12 April 2012 Click on the image below to read on Paper.Li (best with mobiles & tablets)