Climate Change and U.S. National Security: a Geoeconomic Approach

In May 2013 and February 2014, Secretary of State John Kerry defined climate change as a global strategic threat. In May 2013, he declared: “… A principal challenge to all of us of life and death proportions is the challenge of climate change… So it’s not just an environmental issue and it’s not just an economic issue. It is a security issue, a fundamental security issue that affects life as we know it on the planet itself, and it demands urgent attention from all of us” (John Kerry, Remarks with Swedish Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeld, May 14 2013). In February 2014, on a diplomatic tour in Jakarta, he said: “When I think about the array of global climate – of […]

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The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No119, 26 September 2013

Horizon Scanning for National Security – Batman’s Gotham City with an international twist? The world is being profoundly reshaped: China’s global land grab, the battle for the Arctic and the importance of extreme environments for resources, a fast changing unsettled Middle-East, the importance of Central Asia, the return of a pre-World War I type of capitalist world, […]

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No100, 16 May 2013

Horizon Scanning for National Security No100 – Redrawing the global strategic and geopolitical map: From the Syrian civil war and its impact on the region and beyond, with its many uncertainties, moving alliances and dilemmas, to the China-Japan unrelenting tension over the Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands, through the rush for the Arctic, without forgetting the European quagmire and its multi-faceted apparently slow-moving polarization, this is actually the global political and strategic map that is being redrawn. How it will look like is still shrouded in the fog of war … or rather of wars, crises, and battles, present and, unfortunately, to come.

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No55, 5 July 2012

No55 – 5 July 2012 – Click on the image below to read on Paper.Li (best with mobiles & tablets) Attrition warfare: This week is about positioning, reinforcing existing stances and trends, in a quiet but strong way, with, as result, a polarisation across issues, nothing obvious, flamboyant, easy to detect, but polarisation all the […]

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No46, 3 May 2012

No46 – 3 May 2012 – Click on the image below to read on Paper.Li (best with mobiles & tablets)

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No42, 5 April 2012

No42 – 5 April 2012 Click on the image below to read on Paper.Li (best with mobiles & tablets) Higher levels of tension, worst impacts, more dangerous dynamics – Watch out at least for: Italy, Greece, Spain (protests or more?); EU, US and the world (global systemic crisis); Iran, US, EU, Israel; very bad news on […]

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No41, 29 March 2012

No41 – 29 March 2012 Click on the image below to read on Paper.Li (best with mobiles & tablets) China, China, and China again, the BRICS’ power… are we back to the usual – relatively – safe (read “known”) order? But, wait a minute: the “US debt ceiling D-Day” could be in September, the Eurozone crisis […]

The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly No 36, 23rd February 2012

No 36, 23rd February 2012 A feeling of surreality? Faced with so many possibilities to choose a featured article, from the ever rising tension with Iran, to China‘s ever flexing muscles despite signs of potential malaise, Turkey‘s efforts to carve for itself a new global place whatever the impact, Russia‘s renewed roaring assertion, the continuing […]

Global Water Security

A Strategic Foresight and Warning Issue for National Security In the light of the 31 january 2012 “Unclassified Statement for the Record on the Worldwide Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Community for the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence” by James R. Clapper Director of National Intelligence, which identifies Water Security in the chapter on […]

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