Open Access

All our open access (free) complimentary and sponsored insights and foresights.

You will find here various in-depth articles, most of the time those presiding to the beginning of a new section, from in-depth analysis to monitoring of a new issue, through scenario-building.

Sponsored articles concern specific areas or issues or particularly important articles.

You will also find the signals of our Horizon Scanning board as well as shorter articles related to past weekly scans, which must be considered if future longer term trends and evolutions are to be understood.

All weekly scans for weak signals can be accessed here.

Bibliography related to the modern nation-state, state-building, nation and nationalism, and governance. Texts which are fundamental are in bold. Anderson, Benedict R. O’G. (1991). Imagined communities: reflections on the origin and spread of nationalism (Revised and extended. ed.). London: Verso. Anderson, Benedict, “Long-Distance Nationalism,” in The Spectre of Comparisons: Nationalism, Southeast Asia and the World, … Continue reading The Future of the Modern Nation-State and Governance – Bibliography

The Deep-Sea Resources Sigils is part of The Sigils, a series of daily scans for weak signals related to various global issues pertaining to political and geopolitical uncertainty. Why deep-sea resources must be monitored and what is at stake can be found in the corresponding Sigils Brief. Read The Deep-Sea Resources Sigils… Featured image: Three-dimensional model of the … Continue reading The Deep-Sea Resources Sigils

The Coal Sigils, is the first of The Sigils dedicated to energy security, a series of daily papers scanning the horizon for weak signals related to various issues relevant to the security of societies, polities, nations and citizens. Why a Sigils focused on coal? According to a release by the IEA, “As of March 2012, … Continue reading The Coal Sigils

The Iran Crisis Sigils, focusing on tensions with Iran and their geostrategic environment, is part of The Sigils, a series of daily papers scanning the horizon for weak signals related to various issues relevant to the security of societies, polities, nations and citizens. They use Paper.Li as curation platform. The Iran Crisis Sigils can be read by … Continue reading The Iran Crisis Sigils

The Water Sigils, focusing on global water security starts The Sigils, a series of daily papers scanning the horizon for weak signals related to various issues relevant to the security of societies, polities, nations and citizens. They use Paper.Li as curation platform. The Water Sigils can be read by clicking on the image below. ——– … Continue reading The Water Sigils

The Sigils (see list below) are a series of daily papers that scan the horizon for weak (and less weak) signals related to various issues relevant to geopolitical risks and uncertainties, and of interest to citizens, the corporate sector, NGOs and domestic and international political authorities. They are provided to you complimentarily by the Red (Team) … Continue reading The Sigils

An issue, in terms of warning and by extension SF&W, is “a situation, an objective, an opportunity, a danger, a threat or a risk, which is specific and defined.” (Grabo, 2004) For example, SF&W issues can be interstate and civil wars, fragile states, instability, energy security, oil, economic crisis, new opposition nexus, global water security, epidemics, … Continue reading What is an Issue in terms of Strategic Foresight & Warning or Horizon Scanning?

As riots and protests have been progressively, and in an accelerating way, occurring in many countries, starting with France in 2005, as public deficits have become structural and entrenched, made more acute by the financial and economic crisis triggered in 2007 by the sub-primes, it became increasingly clear that something was happening at the very … Continue reading The Chronicles of Everstate: foreseeing the future of the modern nation-state