The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No94, 4 April 2013

Last updated on February 4th, 2014 at 06:45 pmFrailties and Contagion: A bug is creating strange phenomena with the editing process this week, but there is still a lot to read, even if it is not always on the front page. The focus for the week is, besides the East Asian rising tensions, on the […]

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No74, 15 November 2012

Last updated on March 3rd, 2014 at 05:09 pmNo74 – 15 November 2012 Patterns, battles and conflicts, ongoing, escalating or to come, emerge as articles are read in clusters, as a system: e.g. US as top oil producer with Peak oil theorists disagreeing, the battle for the Arctic, Chinese Energy thinking and 6C increase in […]

Assessing the “Strategic” in Surprise

Last updated on November 23rd, 2017 at 06:17 pmPractically applying the idea of “strategic surprise” when anticipating new threats is difficult as soon as one moves away from the general idea, and tries to be more specific about the strategic impact a surprise could have. The surprise part of the concept is relatively easily understood and envisioned. When imagining a threat or danger occurring, we don’t have any problem identifying and explaining the many reasons why this event could happen unexpectedly and find us unprepared. Assessing, estimating and understanding these incriminated causes, then remedying them, is more complex, indeed the raison d’être of strategic foresight and warning and risk management, and the topic of many studies. The strategic dimension, for […]

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The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No69, 11 October 2012

Last updated on April 20th, 2017 at 07:04 pmNo69 – 11 October 2012 Potential stabilisation in the East China Sea, with a move from Japan, still uncertain improvement considering Japanese domestic tensions. Meanwhile the situation in the Middle East and in Europe deteriorates. Most notably, the participation of reservists to the demonstrations yesterday in Greece […]

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No56, 13 July 2012

Last updated on April 2nd, 2014 at 05:32 pmNo56 – 13 July 2012 – Click on the image below to read on Paper.Li (best with mobiles & tablets) As we are testing new ways to gather weak signals, and as the results obtained yesterday were not satisfying, this week, exceptionally, The Weekly is published on […]

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No43, 12 April 2012

Last updated on February 5th, 2014 at 10:15 amNo43 – 12 April 2012 Click on the image below to read on Paper.Li (best with mobiles & tablets)