Shell

Adapting a famous battle between the Teutonic knights and the Russian army during the thirteenth century in his 1938 movie, “Alexandre Nevski”, Sergei Eisenstein directs one of the most famous war scene in the movie’s history: he shows the terrible armoured Teutonic Knights charging the Russian ragtag army over a frozen lake. However, such is the weight of the Knights’ armours, that, after some fights,  the ice of Lake Peipous breaks up and all the Knights drown, giving the victory to the Russians. This could be a metaphor for what might happen in the Arctic during the decades to come, with an important nuance: there might be no winner in the end. Because of climate change, the Arctic is warming … Continue reading The Warming Arctic, a Hyper Strategic Crisis

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The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No82, 10 January 2013

Horizon Scanning for National Security – No82 – On relativity: If, for example, we believe that Greece will be in the G20 in 7 years or that we are at the end of the economic crisis, notably in Europe, that “new oil” developments and use of coal are very positive, then, Australia’s heat index or European unemployment figures or Basel’s new liquidity rule might be (only “might” of course) weak signals that something is amiss… if we don’t believe the initial statements then those indications are strong signals of escalation, among so many others.

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No75, 22 November 2012

No75 – 22 November 2012

Don’t miss the new dimensions of psychological warfare (including by watching the videos) most obvious around Israel’s Operation Pillar of Defense in Gaza, besides so many other issues.
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Horizon Scanning for National Security - social networks and warfareContinue reading The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No75, 22 November 2012

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No54, 28 June 2012

No54 – 28 June 2012 – Click on the image below to read on Paper.Li (best with mobiles & tablets)