weak signal

Each week our scan collects weak – and less weak – signals…
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The Weekly is the scan of The Red (Team) Analysis Society and it focuses on national and international security issues. It was started as an experiment with Paper.li as a way to collect ideas,Continue reading The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly

Editorial – War and Weak Signals – While progressing through the raw mass of information of The Weekly and editing it, initially, it seemed obvious the editorial should focus on Obama’s visit to Asia, the TPP and especially on the U.S. President’s assertion in the Yomiuri Shimbun regarding the disputed Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands: “The policy of the United States is clear — the Senkaku Islands are administered by Japan and therefore fall within the scope of Article 5 of the U.S.-Japan Treaty of Mutual Cooperation and Security. And we oppose any unilateral attempts to undermine Japan’s administration of these islands” (through Stars & Stripes). The accommodating Chinese News reactions to this American statement, as a willingness to keep the U.S. outside the dispute, are … Continue reading The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly 149 – War and Weak Signals

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Editorial – Risks on the US Dollar Supremacy? Among the flurry of articles part of the violent “battle for hearts and minds” regarding Ukraine and opposing directly Russia on the one hand,  the U.S and Europe on the other, continues emerging, quite loudly this week, an interrogation regarding the international order, this time in its monetary guise. Put bluntly, the question is as follows: “Are we seeing the beginning of the end of the US dollar based international monetary order?” The question is related to oil because of the importance of petrodollars. We may thus wonder if a potential U.S. strategy, assuming it could work (read Steve LeVine article “How the US might persuade the Saudis to co-conspire in unleashing an oil … Continue reading The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly 145 – Risks on the US Dollar Supremacy?

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Weak Signals of Cracks in the Neoliberal Paradigm?

government, business, neoliberalism, Red (team) Analysis, paradigm shift, political risk, weak signal“Businesses run the world, they are better managed, more efficient at all levels, promote innovation and discoveries, and deliver better services and products than any other organization, notably governments and states’ administrations.” This is a hardly caricatured representation of the worldview we have increasingly known since at least the middle of the 1980s, … Continue reading Weak Signals of Cracks in the Neoliberal Paradigm?

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No82, 10 January 2013

Horizon Scanning for National Security – No82 – On relativity: If, for example, we believe that Greece will be in the G20 in 7 years or that we are at the end of the economic crisis, notably in Europe, that “new oil” developments and use of coal are very positive, then, Australia’s heat index or European unemployment figures or Basel’s new liquidity rule might be (only “might” of course) weak signals that something is amiss… if we don’t believe the initial statements then those indications are strong signals of escalation, among so many others.

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No57, 19 July 2012 to 66, 20 September 2012

No57 – 19 July 2012 to No 66 – 20 September 2012

Read on Paper.li: No57 to No66

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No56, 13 July 2012

No56 – 13 July 2012 – Click on the image below to read on Paper.Li (best with mobiles & tablets)

As we are testing new ways to gather weak signals, and as the results obtained yesterday were not satisfying, this week, exceptionally, The Weekly is published on Friday. It will resume being published on Thursdays next week. Over the summer, most of the time, the information gathered will be raw, i.e. not edited, thus don’t hesitate to dig deep into the various sections to find weak signals and signals seeing their strength evolving.

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No55, 5 July 2012

No55 – 5 July 2012 – Click on the image below to read on Paper.Li (best with mobiles & tablets)

Attrition warfare: This week is about positioning, reinforcing existing stances and trends, in a quiet but strong way, with, as result, a polarisation across issues, nothing obvious, flamboyant, easy to detect, but polarisation all the same…. meanwhile some mind-forged manacles are starting to open, but isn’t it part of an escalation process?

Read the whole latest edition directly here (not very convenient on mobiles and some tablets):