The Red (Team) Analysis Society Network Partners

Expect Consulting, is a consultancy specialised on jihadist groups, notably in Africa. It is based in Geneva and Paris.


Warren FishbeinDr Warren H. Fishbein, a Washington, D.C.-based independent consultant focused on foresight and warning for global security issues. Dr Fishbein worked for 29 years in the U.S. Intelligence Community as an analyst, analytic manager, and innovation leader prior to his retirement in 2011. From 2008 to 2011, he served as Coordinator of the Global Futures Forum—a multinational community of intelligence and security services that addresses transnational and emerging security challenges through unclassified collaboration. In that same period, he co-organized and led the “Actionable Foresight” project that brought together foresight specialists from across the US government to discuss how better to incorporate their products into decision making. In earlier phases of his career, Dr Fishbein led scenario-based foresight exercises on a variety of topics, managed analytic teams focused on regional and methodological issues, and analyzed trans-Atlantic area political and security trends.

Dr Fishbein is the author of Wage Restraint By Consensus: Britain’s Search for an Incomes Policy Agreement, 1965-79  (London, Routledge, 1984), and, with Gregory Treverton, Making Sense of Transnational Threats, (Washington, Sherman Kent Center, 2004.)  His chapter on “Prospective Sense Making” appears in Christoph Meyer and Chiara de Franco (eds.), Forecasting, Warning and Responding to Transnational Risks (London, Palgrave Macmillan, 2011).  He has delivered numerous presentations at governmental and academic forums on foresight and warning. He holds a PhD in Political Science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Scenarios and Indicators – Monitoring and Warning
Actors Mapping – Commissioned studies


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We help you navigating political and geopolitical uncertainties. You can embrace opportunities and mitigate threats. Throughout the anticipation cycle and risk management/strategic foresight and warning process, we assist you, listening to your needs first.

We know political and geopolitical uncertainties and bring our knowledge and experience to the service of your activity.

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Tailor-designed training — Online Course
Executive training


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Our tailor-designed training, executive programmes or online course provide analysts and decision-makers with practical and step by step analytical and methodological skills and knowledge to reduce and embrace uncertainty, avoid surprise, foresee, monitor and warn about political and geopolitical crises and threats. Risk management as a result is enhanced.

Our training courses are grounded in scientific knowledge and understanding as well as practical experience of international relations, political and geopolitical analysis and anticipation, risk management and strategic foresight and warning analysis and processes.

Read more about how we help our clients according to their specific needs with our training programmes